CERF Blog

Previously Published March 22, 2011 Forecasting is a challenge in rapidly changing times, and these are very rapidly changing times. At the beginning of the year, it would have been unbelievable if someone had said that Mubarak would be deposed, we would be in a war in Libya, and there would be general uprisings throughout… Read more

We released our new United States and California forecasts today. As we note in our publication, available online HERE, we are pessimistic relative to consensus, particularly for 2010 quarters 2, 3, and 4. It appears that we see the negatives continuing longer than our forecasting colleagues at UCLA and across the nation. These negatives include… Read more