Corporate bond spreads are returning to normal levels. The first chart below shows that the monthly spread between Baa bonds and Aaa bonds are close to what they were back in 2007 before the 2008 crisis. This is good because the rate on Baa bonds is declining. This indicates that the perceived risk in lower… Read more

This is a slow week for economic news. I was thinking about how different things are from last August. Last year we were approaching the most serious economic crisis of our life. Economic storm clouds were building, the government was bailing out firms, and everyone was preparing for the worst. Except, September was worse than… Read more