CERF Blog

When I worked for the Fed, there were televisions in our building’s gym, and they were always tuned to a financial channel. We joked about how the talking heads had an explanation for every market move. Then one day, someone told the truth. He said something along the lines of “we don’t know why the… Read more

Corporate bond spreads are returning to normal levels. The first chart below shows that the monthly spread between Baa bonds and Aaa bonds are close to what they were back in 2007 before the 2008 crisis. This is good because the rate on Baa bonds is declining. This indicates that the perceived risk in lower… Read more